DOWNLOAD APP

What are You Looking for?

ByJeremy Lyons
November 5, 2025

NFL Week 10: BTA’s Biggest Variances Of The Week

Discover BTA Sports’ top spread and total variances for NFL Week 10 and where bettors can find the biggest edges this week.
Week 10 is here, and the BTA Sports model has highlighted several key games where the numbers don’t quite align with Vegas projections. With notable gaps in both spreads and totals, our data-driven analysis reveals where bettors might find real value this weekend, uncovering potential upsets and overlooked opportunities. Here are the matchups to keep an eye on before kickoff.

Raiders @ Broncos 6-Point Total Variance

  • Vegas: O/U 42.5
  • BTA: O/U 48.35

After getting blanked in Week 8 by the Chiefs, the Raiders were able to put up 29 points against the Jaguars. Second-year TE Brock Bowers came back from injury better than ever, grabbing 12 catches for 127 yards and 3 touchdowns. The Broncos’ defense is strong, but if this game gets out of hand the Raiders will have some garbage time to put up more points.

Patriots @ Buccaneers 5-Point Spread Variance

  • Vegas: Buccaneers -2.5
  • BTA: Buccaneers -7.42

The New England Patriots are the hottest team in the league, currently riding a 6-game winning streak. However, they’ll face their toughest opponent since Week 5 against the Bills. The Buccaneers are fresh off a bye and a 23-3 win over the Saints. Our model gives the edge to Tampa Bay winning this one by over a touchdown.

Jaguars @ Texans 5-Point Spread Variance

  • Vegas: Texans -1.5
  • BTA: Texans +3.47
ChatGPT said:

Vegas has this game going to the Texans, but our model begs to differ. These teams have already met this season, in which the Jaguars won 17-10 thanks to a late touchdown by Travis Etienne Jr. Texans’ QB C.J. Stroud is currently in concussion protocol, and if he remains out it will be up to Davis Mills to find a way to get the Texans back in the win column.

Author

ByJeremy Lyons
Updated

Read Next

BTA Sports help break down matchups and player props so you can analyze, strategize, and make better decisions—backed by data and risk-based probabilities.
Facebook Instagram
© 2025 BTA Sports. This Site is for Entertainment Purposes Only. We support responsible gambling. If you feel like you're losing control over your gambling experience, call 1-800-GAMBLER (NJ, PA, WV), 1-800-9-WITH-IT (IN), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-522-4700 (NV), 1-800-522-4700 (CO, TN), 1-855-2CALLGA (IL), 1-800-270-7117 (MI). info@btasports.io | 1-215-259-8310 | 701 Horsham Road, Horsham, PA 19044