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| Player | Vegas Odds | 2025 Finish |
|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal | +350 | #1 (Won Cy Young) |
| Garrett Crochet | +425 | #2 |
| Jacob deGrom | +1300 | #8 |
| Hunter Brown | +1300 | #3 |
| Cole Ragans | +1300 | N/A |
| Max Fried | +1700 | #4 |
| Logan Gilbert | +2000 | N/A |
| Bryan Woo | +2000 | #5 |
| Framber Valdez | +2200 | N/A |
| Gavin Williams | +2500 | N/A |
Tarik Skubal (+350)
Skubal captured the 2025 AL Cy Young after a 13–6 record, a league-leading 2.21 ERA, and 241 strikeouts, leading the league in ERA and WHIP while anchoring Detroit’s rotation. Entering 2026 as the favorite, he’ll look to turn last season’s dominance into the start of a sustained run atop the league.
Garrett Crochet (+425)
Crochet finished second in the 2025 Cy Young voting after leading the AL with 255 strikeouts and posting an 18-5 record with a 2.59 ERA, combining high strikeout totals with heavy innings. If he maintains that durability in 2026, his elite strikeout rate gives him a strong chance to overtake Skubal.
Jacob deGrom (+1300)
deGrom returned strong in 2025 with a 12–8 record, a 2.97 ERA, and 185 strikeouts across 172.2 innings in his first full healthy season in years. If he can make more late game stretches in 2026, his per-inning effectiveness makes him one of the most dangerous arms in the field.
Hunter Brown (+1300)
Brown finished third in the AL Cy Young balloting after a breakout 12–9 season with a 2.43 ERA and 206 strikeouts, ranking among the league’s best in ERA and K totals. As he enters 2026 with momentum, another uptick in strikeout rate could make him a legitimate co-favorite with Skubal and Crochet.
Cole Ragan (+1300)
Ragans had an injury-riddled 2025 season, but will look to come back to his 2024 form, where he had 223 strikeouts and a 3.14 ERA. If he pairs that strikeout volume with a few more wins in 2026, he has the profile to break into the top tier of the ballot.
Max Fried (+1700)
Fried was a workhorse in 2025, leading the AL with 19 wins while posting a 2.86 ERA and 189 strikeouts in his first season with the Yankees. With that blend of wins, durability, and strikeout production, he enters 2026 firmly in the Cy Young conversation if he can repeat or improve on those numbers.
Logan Gilbert (+2000)
Gilbert went 6-6 with a 3.43 ERA and 168 strikeouts over 126.0 innings in 2025, continuing to provide quality outings when healthy for Seattle. If he can push back toward a 180+ inning workload while maintaining that strikeout efficiency in 2026, his combination of durability and swing-and-miss ability makes him a legitimate value contender.
Bryan Woo (+2000)
Woo broke out in a big way in 2025, going 15-7 with a 2.94 ERA and 198 strikeouts across 186.2 innings, finishing fifth in AL Cy Young voting. With that level of run prevention and workload already established, another slight jump in strikeouts or wins could vault him firmly into the top tier in 2026.
Framber Valdez (+2200)
Valdez delivered 13 wins with a 3.66 ERA and 187 strikeouts across 192 innings, continuing to rely on his sinker and ground-ball profile to post quality innings for Houston. A bounce in run prevention and lower ERA in 2026 would make him a compelling long-shot Cy Young candidate.
Gavin Williams (+2500)
Williams delivered a strong 2025 season, posting a 12-5 record with a 3.06 ERA and 173 strikeouts over 167.2 innings for Cleveland. If he sharpens his command and pushes his strikeout total closer to the 200-mark in 2026, he has the raw stuff to dramatically outperform his long-shot Cy Young odds.
