Monday Night Football caps off Wild Card Weekend as the Steelers and Texans clash with a trip to the Divisional Round on the line. With the Patriots waiting next, both teams know a win is only the first step in a tougher road ahead. Expect a physical, high-intensity battle from both teams as they look to keep their playoff run alive.

Matchup Overview

The Houston Texans enter the postseason on a 9-game winning streak, showcasing a consistent offense and a top-3 ranked defense in the league. Their defense has allowed 17.4 points per game (#2 in NFL), 279.1 yards per game (#2 in NFL), and 29 total turnovers (#3 in NFL). Some of the teams they were able to limit to less than 20 points include the Chargers, Bills, Broncos, 49ers, and Jaguars.

The Steelers got their spot in the playoffs thanks to a missed FG by Baltimore’s Tyler Loop at the end of Week 18’s game. 42-year-old QB Aaron Rodgers was able to lead them to a 10-7 season in his first year with the team, but ranked 15th in offensive production. They will have to rely on the momentum from last week’s win-or-go-home game if they want to defeat the red-hot Texans.

BTA’s Markets/Props To Watch

1. DK Metcalf Under 4.5 Receptions

Metcalf returns from a two-game suspension he received in Week 16 due to an altercation with a fan. He has failed to eclipse this line in 3 of his last 4 games played. Our model gives Metcalf an 88.08% chance of failing to record 5+ receptions tonight.

2. HOU Texans Over 19.5 Team Total

While they are not known for their offense, the Houston Texans have scored 20+ points in 7-consecutive games. The Steelers’ defense ranks 16th in total points allowed per game (22.8). Our model gives the Texans a 70.86% chance of scoring 20+ points tonight.

3. Jaylen Warren Over 1.5 Receptions

The Steelers dual RB core recorded 114 receptions during the regular season, the second most in the league. Warren recorded multiple catches in 14 games this season. Our model gives Warren a 63.65% chance of recording 2+ receptions tonight.