Matchup Overview
Joe Flacco looked solid in his Cincinnati debut, throwing for 219 yards, 2 touchdowns, and 0 interceptions. Their defense was dominant for most of the game, but a 4th quarter collapse led to a losing effort against the Packers. This week, the trio of Flacco, Chase, and Higgins should be able to flourish against the 27th-ranked passing defense (245 yds/g).
Fresh off their bye, the Steelers enter Week 7 on a high after a commanding 23–9 win over the Browns in Week 6. Pittsburgh is on top of the division thanks to the offense duo of Aaron Rodgers and D.K. Metcalf, whom they both acquired this offseason. They’ve connected for 356 yards and 4 touchdowns this season, with D.K. finding the endzone in each of his last four games. Cincinnati has the 31st-ranked passing defense (258.5 yds/g), so expect another dominant performance from them.
BTA’s Markets/Props To Watch
| Player/Team | Line | BTA Sports Projection |
| PIT Steelers | Over 23.5 Team Total | 60.58% Chance |
| D.K. Metcalf | Over 63.5 Receiving Yards | 62.52% Chance |
| Noah Fant | Over 3.5 Receptions | 71.53% Chance |
1. PIT Steelers Over 23.5 Team Total
Pittsburgh enters this matchup averaging 23.8 points per game. Meanwhile, the Bengals’ defense has been poor, surrendering 30.5 points per game to start their season. Our model gives the Steelers a 60.58% chance of scoring 24+ points tonight.
2. D.K. Metcalf Over 63.5 Receiving Yards
Metcalf enters this game averaging 71.2 receiving yards per game, eclipsing this line in each of his last two games. Facing a struggling Bengals’ secondary, there is a ton of value for D.K. to have a strong outing tonight. Our model gives him a 62.52% chance of cashing this line.
3. Noah Fant Over 3.5 Receptions
Fant hauled in 4 receptions last week, and QB Joe Flacco has always leaned on his tight ends. He faces a Steelers’ defense that has allowed an average of 6.4 catches per game to opposing tight ends. Our model gives Fant a 71.53% chance of recording 4 or more catches tonight.
