BTA Sports' Divisional Round Preview: Broncos Vs. Bills

Jeremy Lyons
January 14, 2026

BTA Sports’ Divisional Round Preview: Broncos Vs. Bills

The Divisional Round kicks off with the Broncos hosting the Bills in a matchup that sets the tone for the rest of the weekend. With a trip to the conference championship on the line, both teams bring urgency, confidence, and postseason expectations to the field. It is a clash of styles and strengths, a toss-up for who will make it one step closer to the Super Bowl.

Matchup Overview

The 6-seeded Bills went into Jacksonville and pulled off the upset, snapping the Jaguars’ 8-game winning streak. QB Josh Allen put on an amazing performance with 306 total yards, one passing and two rushing touchdowns. They lost two more wide receivers to injury, making them extra thin in the passing game. They may need to utilize their run game in this one, but are facing the #2 rushing defense in the league.

The Broncos managed to claim the top seed in both the AFC West and the conference with a 14-3 record. The last time they won the division was 2015, the year they won the Super Bowl. Now back on top, they have home-field advantage throughout the playoffs, led by their top-3 defense. If they are able to limit Josh Allen, expect us to return to Denver for the Conference Championship.

BTA’s Markets/Props To Watch

Player/Team	Line	BTA Sports Projection
Pat Bryant	Over 2.5 Receptions	76.02% Chance
James Cook	Under 79.5 Rushing Yards	72.63% Chance
Brandin Cooks	Over 29.5 Receiving Yards	68.83% Chance

1. Pat Bryant Over 2.5 Receptions

Rookie Pat Bryant has emerged during the second half of the season, averaging 41.5 receiving yards since Week 8. He has caught 3+ passes in each of his last 5 games. Our model gives him a 76.02% chance of eclipsing this line on Saturday.

2. James Cook Under 79.5 Rushing Yards

While James Cook led the league in rushing yards this season (1,621), he will be up against the Bronco’s defense that has allowed just 91.1 rushing yards per game. They only allowed 80+ rushing yards to one opposing RB this season. Our model gives Cook a 72.63% chance of failing to eclipse his rushing line on Saturday.

3. Brandin Cooks Over 29.5 Receiving Yards

Brandin Cooks joined the Bills in the middle of the season, and has showcased his need in the past two weeks, grabbing 7 catches for 159 yards. With all of Buffalo’s injuries, he should see a large target share. Our model gives Cooks a 68.83% chance of recording 30+ receiving yards on Saturday.