Matchup Overview
The Bucs had an explosive start to the season, soaring to the top of the NFC with a 5-1 record. Since then, they are 2-6 and are fighting for the NFC South’s top spot. They are coming off a disappointing loss to the Saints, and their offense has struggled to consistently put up points.
The Falcons will be without their star WR Drake London again on Thursday, which proved disastrous in a 37-9 loss last week against the Seahawks. They will have to rely on Bijan Robinson for most of their offense, who ranks 4th amongst RBs in rushing yards (1,081) and 2nd in receiving yards (602).
BTA’s Markets/Props To Watch
| Player/Team | Line | BTA Sports Projection |
| Chris Godwin | Over 39.5 Receiving Yards | 79.22% Chance |
| Baker Mayfield | Under 218.5 Passing Yards | 75.35% Chance |
| Bucky Irving | Over 16.5 Rush Attempts | 72.40% Chance |
1. Chris Godwin Over 39.5 Receiving Yards
It’s been an up-and-down season for Chris Godwin as he’s been dealing with injuries. However, in his last two games he’s totaled 133 receiving yards on 8 catches. Historically, Godwin has performed well against the Falcons, having 40+ receiving yards in every game against them since 2020. Our model gives him a 79.22% chance of recording 40+ receiving yards on Thursday.
2. Baker Mayfield Under 218.5 Passing Yards
Baker and the Bucs’ passing game has struggled lately, as he’s failed to eclipse 200+ passing yards in each of his last 4 games. He threw for just 167 yards agains this Falcons’ defense back in Week 1. Our model gives him a 75.35% chance of throwing for under his listed total on Thursday.
3. Bucky Irving Over 16.5 Rush Attempts
As stated earlier, the Bucs’ passing game has struggled lately, leaving more opportunity to feed the ball to Bucky. In his two games back from injury, he has rushed the ball 32 times for 116 yards and a touchdown. Our model gives him a 72.40% chance of recording 17+ rushing attempts on Thursday.
