Week 4 kicks off in Arizona as the Cardinals host the Seahawks on Thursday Night Football. Both NFC West rivals are looking to make a statement early in the division race, entering this game with 2-1 records. Expect a hard-fought battle that could set the tone for the rest of the season.
Matchup Overview
Fresh off a 44-13 blowout victory against the Saints, the Seahawks are soaring high heading into Week 4. Their defense has held steady, holding opponents to under 20 points in each of their first three games. Offensively, Sam Darnold has found rhythm on his new team, while Jaxon Smith-Njigba is emerging as a credible WR1, currently ranked second amongst wide receivers in receiving yards (323).
The Cardinals are coming off a disappointing one-point loss to the 49ers last week. They lost their star running back James Conner to an Achilles injury, so backup Trey Benson will be the leading man for the foreseeable future. On defense, they average 76.3 rushing yards per game allowed, ranked fourth-best in the league. However, they ranked 30th against the passing game, meaning Sam Howell and JSN should be able to dominate in the air.
Last 5 Games H2H
Seahawks 30-18 Cardinals (12/08/2024)
Cardinals 6-16 Seahawks (11/24/2024)
Seahawks 21-20 Cardinals (1/7/2024)
Cardinals 10-20 Seahawks (10/22/2023)
Seahawks 31-21 Cardinals (11/6/2022)
*Seahawks have won 7-straight matchups
BTA’s Markets/Props To Watch
| Player/Team | Line | BTA Sports Projection |
| Arizona Cardinals | Under 20.5 Team Total | 63.48% Chance |
| Kyler Murray | 25+ Rushing Yards | 83.90% Chance |
| Sam Darnold | 2+ Passing Touchdowns | 52.18% Chance |
1. Arizona Cardinals Under 20.5 Team Total
I love this market based on these two stats:
- The Seahawks defense hasn’t given up 20+ points this season
- The Cardinals haven’t scored 21+ points in their last 4 H2H matchups
Our model gives the Cardinals a 63.48% chance to score less than 20.5 points on Thursday.
2. Kyler Murray 25+ Rushing Yards
Kyler Murray has reached this total in every game this season, each by a decent margin. Seattle’s defense has yet to face a mobile quarterback, so we will see if they can manage his elusiveness. Our model gives Kyler Murray an 83.90% chance of recording 25+ rushing yards on Thursday.
3. Sam Darnold 2+ Passing Touchdowns
Darnold, who has thrown multiple touchdowns in back-to-back games, faces a struggling Cardinals secondary. Our model gives Sam Darnold a 52.18% chance of throwing 2+ passing touchdowns on Thursday.
