Matchup Overview
The Colts blessed us with the reemergence of QB Philip Rivers, who came out of retirement after 5 years. They narrowly fell 18-16 to the Seahawks, in which Rivers was able to put up 120 yards and a passing touchdown. Their defense held one of the top offenses without a touchdown, bringing hope into this matchup against Indianapolis.
The 49ers are 4-0 since Brock Purdy returned from injury, beating their opponents by an average of 15 points. The Colts’ pass defense ranks 30th in yards allowed per game (247.6), which should allow Purdy to continue to dominate opposing secondaries. Pair him with CMC and there’s no questioning why the are on this winning streak.
BTA’s Markets/Props To Watch
| Player/Team | Line | BTA Sports Projection |
| Philip Rivers | Over 0.5 Passing Touchdowns | 87.48% Chance |
| Jauan Jennings | Under 4.5 Receptions | 75.75% Chance |
| Jonathan Taylor | Under 97.5 Rushing Yards | 61.55% Chance |
1. Philip Rivers Over 0.5 Passing Touchdowns
Philip Rivers looked pretty good for a 44-year-old who hasn’t taken an NFL snap in 5 years. He was able to connect with Alec Pierce for a touchdown last week, and faces a 49ers’ defense that has allowed a passing touchdown in every game since Week 2. Our model gives Rivers an 87.48% chance of throwing a passing touchdown tonight.
2. Jauan Jennings Under 4.5 Receptions
Jauan Jennings has become one of Purdy’s favorite targets in the endzone, scoring 4 touchdowns in the last 3 weeks. However, in 6 games with Purdy this season he has eclipsed this reception line just once. Our model gives Jennings a 75.75% chance of recording less than 5 receptions tonight.
3. Jonathan Taylor Under 97.5 Rushing Yards
After one of the greatest starts to the season in NFL history, Jonathan Taylor has been held to under 100 rushing yards in each of his last 4 games. The 49ers defense has allowed 100+ yards to just two RBs this season (Travis Etienne Jr., Tony Pollard). Our model gives Taylor a 61.55% chance of rushing for under 97.5 yards tonight.
