Week 6 concludes with another Monday Night Doubleheader. The reigning MVP takes on a struggling Atlanta team while the Top 2 picks in the 2024 draft go head-to-head in Washington.
Bills @ Falcons
Buffalo enters this game following a shocking Week 5 loss at home to New England, falling 23–20. The Bills were undone by turnovers and penalties, committing three turnovers despite outgaining the Patriots. They hope to turn things around on offense with their 30.6 PPG.
Atlanta, fresh off an early bye, looks to piggyback off their 34-27 victory over the Commanders. Running Back Bijan Robinson continues to be the star of this offense, recording 100+ scrimmage yards in each game this season. He faces a Buffalo defense that ranks 30th against the run.
Bears @ Commanders
Chicago, another team coming off a bye, sits at 2-2 through four games for the second straight season, this time thanks to an impressive offensive showing. Caleb Williams has thrown for 927 yards, 8 touchdowns, and just 2 interceptions so far. He faces a Commanders’ defense that limited Justin Herbert to less than 200 yards in their last game.
Washington is riding off a convincing 27–10 road win in Week 5 over the Chargers, scoring 27 unanswered after falling behind early. Rookie Jacory Croskey-Merritt had his breakout game, racking up 150 scrimmage yards and 2 touchdowns. He faces a Bears’ defense that gave up 200 rushing yards to Jeanty/Mostert in their last game.
BTA’s Markets/Props To Watch
| Player/Team | Line | BTA Sports Projection |
| Drake London | Over 5.5 Receptions | 65.45% Chance |
| Josh Allen | Over 24.5 Rushing Yards | 89.68% Chance |
| D’Andre Swift | Over 46.5 Rushing Yards | 76.63% Chance |
1. Drake London Over 5.5 Receptions
Drake London has proven himself as a top WR in the league, and his target share shows it. He has 37 targets through just four games this season, catching 24 for 269 yards and a touchdown. With WR2 Darnell Mooney out tonight, London should get an even bigger share of targets. Our model gives him a 65.45% chance of catching 6+ receptions tonight.
2. Josh Allen Over 24.5 Rushing Yards
Josh Allen has eclipsed this line in every game this season, and he faces a Falcons’ defense that has given up 6.06 yards per carry to opposing quarterbacks. Our model gives Allen an 89.68% chance of recording 25+ rushing yards tonight.
3. D’Andre Swift Over 46.5 Rushing Yards
Swift has struggled to start the season, averaging just 3.3 yards per carry. However, the Commanders’ run defense has given up 75+ rushing yards to RBs in their last three games, making this low of a line an obvious betting choice. Our model gives Swift a 76.63% chance of recording over 46.5 rushing yards tonight.
4. Jacory Croskey-Merritt Anytime Touchdown
Jacory Croskey-Merritt is coming off his best performance of the season, racking up 150 total yards and two touchdowns in Washington’s Week 5 win over the Chargers. He faces a Bears’ defense that gave up three touchdowns to running back Ashton Jeanty in their last game. Our model gives Croskey-Merritt an 83.47% chance to find the endzone tonight.
