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ByJeremy Lyons
December 10, 2025

NFL Week 15: BTA’s Biggest Variances Of The Week

Discover BTA Sports’ top spread and total variances for NFL Week 15 and where bettors can find the biggest edges this week.
Week 15 is here, and our model has highlighted several games where the odds don’t fully match what the data suggests. There are notable differences in spreads and totals that could signal hidden value, whether it’s a team poised to outperform expectations or a number the market hasn’t quite nailed down. These are the matchups worth keeping an eye on as the week unfolds.

Colts @ Seahawks 12-Point Spread Variance

  • Vegas: Seahawks -13.5
  • BTA: Seahawks -1.0
ChatGPT said:

There is a legitimate chance we see 44-year old Philip Rivers behind center for the Colts on Sunday, after retiring back in 2021. If he does play, there is no telling what will happen in this matchup. The Colts are on a free-fall, while the Seahawks are one of the hottest teams in the league. Our model is suggesting that this game will end up being closer than Vegas is expecting.

Chargers @ Chiefs 10-Point Total Variance

  • Vegas: O/U 41.5
  • BTA: O/U 52.0

These teams met in Brazil back in Week 1, with the Chargers pulling off a surprising 27-21 victory. Looking back, this wasn’t as much of a surprise given the Chiefs are sitting at 6-7 in what is becoming a wasted season. Their defense has struggled, allowing 20+ points in each of their last 5 games, whereas the Chargers offense has scored 20+ in 7 of their last 8. Our model anticipates this game to be a higher-scoring affair than listed.

Panthers @ Saints 8-Point Spread Variance

  • Vegas: Saints +2.5
  • BTA: Saints -5.0

These two teams met just a month ago, with the Saints winning in a defensive showdown. They held a then red-hot Panthers’ offense to just 7 points. Entering this matchup, the Saints are riding high on their third win of the season, Led by QB Tyler Shough’s 55 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns. On the other end, the Panthers are fresh off a bye and a dominant 31-28 performance against the LA Rams. Our model is favoring the Saints to sweep the season series against their divisional opponents.

Author

ByJeremy Lyons
Updated

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