Miami Dolphins Vs. New York Jets
The Miami Dolphins enter Week 4 still looking for their first win after a 31–21 loss to the Buffalo Bills last week. Their biggest weakness is their defense, which has given up a league-worst 32.3 points per game. On the plus side, they have scored 3+ touchdowns in back-to-back games, revitalizing an offense that was ranked 22nd in scoring last season. QB Tua Tagovailoa continues to give the ball away, but he faces a Jets’ defense that has yet to force a turnover this season. The New York Jets are also searching for their first win after a narrow 29–27 loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 3. The Jets’ defense has also struggled, allowing an average of 31.0 points per game. Quarterback Justin Fields is set to return after missing one week due to a concussion, but after Tyrod Taylor’s decent performance last week, bettors are unsure of how much of a bump Fields will provide. Based on our models, this game leans heavily in Miami’s favor. With a 4-point spread variance, our best bet for this game is Dolphins -2.5.- Spread:
- Vegas: Dolphins -2.5
- BTA: Dolphins -6.61
- Total:
- Vegas: O/U 44.5
- BTA: O/U 45.5
Player Spotlight: De’Von Achane
De’Von Achane has had a modest start to 2025, putting up 288 total yards and 2 touchdowns through three games. In last season’s regular-season finale vs. the Jets, Achane ran for 121 yards and a touchdown. He faces a New York defense that has given up 127 rushing yards per game this season.- BTA Projections:
- 20+ Receiving Yards (89.92%)
- 40+ Receiving Yards (33.07%)
- 50+ Rushing Yards (57.53%)
- 75+ Rushing Yards (28.57%)
- To Score A Touchdown (52.25%)
Denver Broncos Vs. Cincinnati Bengals
The Denver Broncos are a surprising 1-2 to start the season, having lost their last two games by a total of just four points. They entered 2025 with a defense expected to shut down their opponents, but are currently 16th in points allowed per game (21.3). Luckily, they face an offense led by Jake Browning that couldn’t move the ball last week. Sophomore QB Bo Nix has hit an early slump, throwing for only 5 touchdowns and giving up 3 interceptions through his first three games. The Cincinnati Bengals enter Week 4 looking to rebound from a brutal 48–10 blowout loss to the Minnesota Vikings. The Bengals’ offense struggled in Burrow’s absence, with backup QB Jake Browning only throwing for 140 yards along with 2 interceptions. Their defense could not stop the run, with Vikings’ running back Jordan Mason rushing for over 100 yards and 2 touchdowns. If they want to have any chance against the Broncos, their defense will need to apply a ton of pressure on the passing game. Based on our models, this game should be a close contest. With a 7-point spread variance, our best bet for this game is Bengals +7.5.- Spread:
- Vegas: Broncos -7.5
- BTA: Broncos -0.23
- Total:
- Vegas: O/U 44.5
- BTA: O/U 49.7
Player Spotlight: J.K. Dobbins
Running back J.K. Dobbins has made a positive early impression on his new team, rushing for 60+ yards and a touchdown in each game this season. There was speculation heading into Week 1 about his volume with the Broncos drafting rookie RJ harvey, but it seems like Dobbins has won the starting job. He faces a Bengals’ defense that is ranked 21st against the run.- BTA Projections:
- 50+ Rushing Yards (80.00%)
- 75+ Rushing Yards (42.18%)
- 100+ Rushing Yards (20.50%)
- To Score A Touchdown (50.55%)
