Week 2 kicks off with an NFC clash as the Washington Commanders travel to Lambeau Field to face the Green Bay Packers on Thursday Night Football. Both teams are eager to build momentum after starting their respective seasons 1-0.
Matchup Overview
After falling just short of their first Super Bowl appearance since 1992, the Commanders are back with a vengeance for Jayden Daniels’ sophomore campaign. His dual-threat ability gives Washington a dynamic wrinkle that Green Bay’s defense will need to account for.
On the other sideline, the Packers are already putting themselves in the conversation of NFC contenders, leaning on Love’s poise and the offseason addition of Josh Jacobs. Green Bay’s defense was also bolstered with the late free agency signing of All-Pro linebacker Micah Parsons, who has experience facing off against this Washington team.
Last 5 H2H Games
Packers 21 @ 23 Commanders (10/23/2022)
Commanders 10 @ 24 Packers (10/24/2021)
Commanders 15 @ 20 Packers (12/08/2019)
Packers 17 @ 31 Commanders (9/23/2018)
Packers 24 @ 42 Commanders (11/20/2016)
Odds vs Algorithm
According to the latest BTA Sports projection, Green Bay wins this matchup 59% of the time, which translates to a fair moneyline of -183, which is in line with Vegas’ line of -185. Our model is anticipating a close matchup, with the Packers only getting a 28.18% chance of covering the spread (GB -3.5). Let’s dive deeper into the projections:
| Market | Line | BTA Sports Projection |
| Game Spread | Packers -3.5 (-106) | 28.18% Chance |
| Game Total | Over 48.0 (-110) | 54.77% Chance |
| Team Totals | Commanders Over 22.5 (-116) Packers Over 26.5 (-111) |
45.60% Chance 78.35% Chance |
Against the Spread & Totals Trends
Commanders ATS 2025: 1-0 overall; 12-7-1 in 2024
Packers ATS 2025: 1-0 overall; 9-9 in 2024
Commanders O/U Totals 2025: 0-1 overall on OVER; 13-7 in 2024
Packers O/U Totals 2025: 0-1 record on OVER; 8-9-1 in 2024
Player Spotlight: Jayden Daniels
Jayden Daniels didn’t show any signs of rust in Week 1’s 21-6 victory over the New York Giants, where he threw for 233 yards and a touchdown while rushing for 68 yards on the ground. He will need to utilize his dual-threat abilities on Thursday against this Packers’ defense, which held the Detroit Lions to just 246 total yards of offense on Sunday.
Our model gives Daniels a 68.85% chance of eclipsing 230 passing yards and a 36.43% chance of rushing for 50+ yards on Thursday night.
Final Thoughts
Green Bay has the Lambeau advantage, but Washington’s dynamic offense brings an unpredictable element that could tilt this matchup. The BTA model indicates we will see a close, exciting game on Thursday Night Football.
