Matchup Overview
The Patriots have become the cinderella story of the 2025 NFL season, racking up 9-straight wins as they lead the AFC East with a 10-2 record. Their offense, led by QB Drake Maye, will have plenty of opportunities to find the endzone against the 30th ranked defense in the league.
At 2-10, The Giants season is over. However, they get their rookie QB Jaxson Dart back tonight, who gave them flashes of success with big wins over the Chargers and Eagles earlier this season. The Patriots’ defense has been stellar at limiting their opponents, but don’t let that stop Dart from putting on a display tonight.
BTA’s Markets/Props To Watch
| Player/Team | Line | BTA Sports Projection |
| Drake Maye | Over 19.5 Rushing Yards | 92.90% Chance |
| Darius Slayton | Over 29.5 Receiving Yards | 68.13% Chance |
| Jaxson Dart | Anytime Touchdown Scorer | 55.40% Chance |
1. Drake Maye Over 19.5 Rushing Yards
Drake Maye is heavily in the conversation for MVP, and that should be no surprise due to how he has turned this team around in his second season. While most of his success is from the passing game, he has also had success on the ground, averaging 25.6 rushing yards per game. Our model gives Maye a 92.90% chance of recording 20+ rushing yards tonight.
2. Darius Slayton Over 29.5 Receiving Yards
While Darius Slayton lost his position as the WR1 of this team, he has had success when playing with Jaxson Dart. He has eclipsed this line in 6 of the 7 games when Dart is the starter. Our model gives him a 68.13% chance of recording 30+ receiving yards tonight.
3. Jaxson Dart Anytime Touchdown Scorer
Jaxson Dart has proven himself to be a starting QB in this league, both in the air and on the ground. He has scored a rushing touchdown in each of his last 5 games. With Vegas listing his odds at +330 and our model giving him a 55.40% chance of scoring tonight, this bet is a no-brainer.
