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Raiders Vs. Cowboys MNF Preview: Betting & BTA Sports Model Projections

Week 11 wraps up in Vegas as the Raiders host the Cowboys, and both teams enter this matchup searching for answers. Each sits near the bottom of their division, weighed down by inconsistent play and missed opportunities throughout the season. While the postseason feels like a long shot for both sides, this game is still a chance to steady the ship, regain some momentum, and show signs of progress down the stretch.

Matchup Overview

The Raiders, at 2-7, have arguably been the most inconsistent team in the league. They’ve failed to score 10+ points in 4 games this season, but have scored 20+ points in the other 6. Facing one of the worst defenses in the league, Geno Smith and the Raiders will have a chance in this one if they can put up enough offensive production.

It’s been a tough season for the Cowboys, with only 3 wins despite being one of the top offenses in the league. They average 29.2 points per game on offense, but give up 30.8 points per game on defense. Coming off the bye, they will hope to bounce back from a dissapointing 17-point performance against the Cardinals.

BTA’s Markets/Props To Watch

Player/Team Line BTA Sports Projection
DAL @ LV Under 50.5 Total Points 80.90% Chance
Ashton Jeanty Over 14.5 Receiving Yards 69.90% Chance
George Pickens Over 59.5 Receiving Yards 63.73% Chance

1. Under 50.5 Total Points

Vegas expects points, but our model leans under. The Raiders average just 15.4 points per game and rarely sustain drives, dragging down game flow. Dallas puts up 29.2 per game but has been inconsistent, and they now face a Raiders defense coming off a strong showing against Denver. Our model gives a  80.90% chance of going under the listed total tonight.

2. Ashton Jeanty Over 14.5 Receiving Yards

In the past two weeks, Jeanty has become more involved in the passing game, grabbing 8 receptions for 50 yards and a touchdown. Running backs are averaging 45.7 receiving yards per game against the Cowboys this season. Our model gives him a 69.90% chance of recording 15+ receiving yards tonight.

3. George Pickens Over 59.5 Receiving Yards

George Pickens has been one of the most consistent wide receivers this year, eclipsing 60+ receiving yards in 7 of 9 games this season. Our model gives him a 63.73% chance of recording 60+ receiving yards tonight.

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