Matchup Overview
It’s been an up-and-down season for the Steelers, led by 42-year-old QB Aaron Rodgers, who is looking to make his first playoff appearance since the 2021 season. They are fresh off a vital 27-22 win over the Baltimore Ravens, in which Rodgers put up a season-high 284 passing yards. They will need to rely on Rodgers again tonight against a Miami secondary that ranks 13th against the pass.
The Dolphins are riding high on a 4-game win streak, kickstarted by a shocking 30-13 victory over the Bills. During this winning stretch, they have held their opponents to roughly 13 points per game, a stark contrast from their first 9 games of the season (27 OPPG).
BTA’s Markets/Props To Watch
| Player/Team | Line | BTA Sports Projection |
| Tua Tagovailoa | Under 20.5 Pass Completions | 74.92% Chance |
| PIT Steelers | Under 22.5 Team Total | 71.75% Chance |
| Jaylen Warren | Under 51.5 Rushing Yards | 60.90% Chance |
1. Tua Tagovailoa Under 20.5 Pass Completions
Miami hasn’t relied on the passing game during their 4-game winning streak, with Tua averaging just 21 attempts per game. If their run game proves to be successful against the 21st-ranked rush defense in the league, this line should be easy to cash. Our model gives Tua Tagovailoa a 74.92% chance of completing under 20.5 passes tonight.
2. PIT Steelers Under 22.5 Team Total
As stated earlier, this Miami defense has come alive during their win streak, allowing just 13 points per game to their opponents. Our model gives Pittsburgh a 71.75% chance of scoring less than 22.5 points tonight.
3. Jaylen Warren Under 51.5 Rushing Yards
Jaylen Warren has been stymied over the past two weeks, averaging just 2.6 yards per carry. Additionally, Kenneth Gainwell has claimed roughly 50% of his snaps in the past 5 weeks. Our model gives Warren a 60.90% chance of rushing for under 51.5 yards tonight.
