Matchup Overview
These two teams faced off in Week 14, where the Steelers took a 27-22 victory. This win sparked a 3-game win streak that came to a shocking end just last week, where they lost to the Browns. Aaron Rodgers has a chance to get back to the postseason for the first time since 2022, and he gets to face the 29th-ranked passing defense that he should excel against.
The Ravens will finally get Lamar Jackson back from injury, but the question will be if he is enough to get them past the Steelers. He has a 6-6 record as a starter this season, and has a career-low 28.3 rushing yards per game. They will likely rely on Derrick Henry to lead them to the playoffs, after posting 216 yards and 4 touchdowns last week against the Packers.
BTA’s Markets/Props To Watch
| Player/Team | Line | BTA Sports Projection |
| BAL @ PIT | PIT +3.5 Point Spread | 72.39% Chance |
| Jaylen Warren | Under 49.5 Rushing Yards | 68.45% Chance |
| Aaron Rodgers | Over 199.5 Passing Yards | 63.75% Chance |
1. PIT +3.5 Point Spread
The Steelers enter the game as underdogs, but our model has them as outright winners in this matchup. The Steelers have won 5 of the last 6 games in this rivalry, and already have the momentum from Week 14’s win in Baltimore. Our model gives Pittsburgh a 72.39% chance of covering the spread on Sunday.
2. Jaylen Warren Under 49.5 Rushing Yards
Jaylen Warren is averaging nearly 60 rushing yards per game, but the Ravens’ defense is coming off an amazing performance against the Packers, allowing just 19 rushing yards. Our model gives Warren a 68.45% chance of rushing for under 50 yards on Sunday.
3. Aaron Rodgers Over 199.5 Passing Yards
Aaron Rodgers is averaging just 202 passing yards per game, but had a season-high 284 yards in Week 14’s win in Baltimore. Our model gives Rodgers a 63.75% chance of recording 200+ passing yards on Sunday.
