Matchup Overview
The Texans have found ways to keep their season alive, with QB Davis Mills leading them to back-to-back victories. At 5-5, they are just one game away from a spot in the playoffs, but they are about to enter the toughest stretch of the season (BUF/IND/KC). Their defense ranks #1 in points allowed per game (16.3) and will have to rely heavily on them if they want to have a chance in this one.
After a shocking loss to the Dolphins back in Week 10, the Bills bounced back with an amazing 44-32 victory over the Buccaneers. Josh Allen proved why he is the reigning MVP, scoring 6 touchdowns (3 Pass / 3 Rush). The Bills are ranked 4th in points per game (29.2) and will need to find ways to score against the top-ranked defense in the league.
BTA’s Markets/Props To Watch
| Player/Team | Line | BTA Sports Projection |
| Keon Coleman | Over 1.5 Receptions | 79.77% Chance |
| Josh Allen | Over 24.5 Rushing Yards | 69.03% Chance |
| Jayden Higgins | Over 24.5 Receiving Yards | 60.95% Chance |
1. Keon Coleman Over 1.5 Receptions
Coleman may not be a top wide receiver in the league, but he is one of the most consistent. He has 2+ receptions in EVERY game this season, and our model gives him a 79.77% chance of continuing the streak on Thursday.
2. Josh Allen Over 24.5 Rushing Yards
Coming off arguably his greatest career performance, Allen is ready to utilize his running ability again. He is averaging 35.1 rushing yards per game, and the Texans’ defense has struggled to contain QBs from running the ball in their last 3 games. Our model gives him a 69.03% chance of rushing for 25+ yards on Thursday.
3. Jayden Higgins Over 24.5 Receiving Yards
Higgins has proven himself to be a reliable weapon for Davis Mills, grabbing 9 receptions on 14 targets over the last 2 weeks. He has 40+ receiving yards in both those games, making this line very appealing. Our model gives him a 60.95% chance of recording 25+ receiving yards on Thursday.
