PHI Eagles @ WAS Commanders
The Eagles are just one win away from becoming the first team to win the NFC East in back-to-back seasons since 2004! It’s been a rollercoaster of a season for the Birds, with 7 of their wins coming from one-score games. They had a huge bounce-back game last week against the Raiders, blanking them 31-0. They face a struggling Commanders’ defense and should have that same success on Saturday.
The Commanders have been eliminated from this year’s playoffs, and now look to either play spoiler or tank for a better spot in the draft. They broke an 8-game losing streak with a 29-21 win last week against the Giants, but they should struggle against Philadelphia’s 6th-ranked defense.
BEST BET = Jalen Hurts Over 24.5 Rushing Yards
Jalen Hurts has regained his rushing capabilities in the second half the season, averaging 27.3 rushing yards in his last 7 games. The Commanders just gave up 63 rushing yards to QB Jaxson Dart last week. Our model gives Hurts a 69.60% chance of rushing for 25+ yards on Saturday.
GB Packers @ CHI Bears
The Packers will enter this game without their star linebacker Micah Parsons who suffered an ACL tear in last week’s loss to the Broncos. They pulled off a 28-21 victory over the Bears a few weeks ago, but are plagued with tons of injuries heading into this matchup along with Parsons. The Bears bounced back from their loss to the Packers with a dominant 31-3 win over the Browns. First year head coach Ben Johnson has turned a 5-win team to a 10-win team and counting, throwing him in the conversation for Coach of the Year. The Bears control their own destiny and have a chance to claim the NFC North title for the first time since 2018.BEST BET = D’Andre Swift Over 49.5 Rushing Yards
D’Andre Swift has had a spectacular season behind Caleb Williams, averaging 71.9 yards per game on 4.9 YPC. He diced up a strong Cleveland defense, rushing for 98 yards and 2 touchdowns last week. Our model gives him an 88.15% chance of rushing for 50+ yards on Saturday.
