Week 4 of the 2025 NFL season marked another strong showing for the BTA Sports predictive model, which continues to prove its reliability in navigating a volatile betting market. This week, the model achieved a 57.2% success rate on moneyline predictions. As for against the spread (ATS), the model landed at a 53.1% success rate, hitting above the critical 50% threshold that signals profitability.
Week-To-Week Record:
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Week 1: 77.0% ML, 76.2% ATS
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Week 2: 76.4% ML, 70.2% ATS
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Week 3: 74.8% ML, 60.5% ATS
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Week 4: 57.2% ML, 53.1% ATS
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TOTAL: 68.9% ML, 61.9% ATS
Closest Predictions:
| Game | BTA Model | Final Score |
| Jaguars @ 49ers | JAX 23-24 SF (O/U 46.98) | JAX 26-21 SF (O/U 47) |
| Vikings @ Steelers | MIN 16-22 PIT (-4.79) | MIN 21-24 PIT (-3) |
| Seahawks @ Cardinals | SEA 20-18 ARZ (+0.45) | SEA 23-20 ARZ (+3) |
Jaguars @ 49ers
The BTA model was nearly perfect in predicting the total points for this game, with a margin of 0.02! Both team totals were within 2 points of their final scores, making this our best prediction of the week.
Vikings @ Steelers
The NFL’s first-ever game in Ireland remained a close contest as our model expected, with the final score being within 5 points. It wasn’t pretty in the first half, but a 4th-quarter push by the Vikings helped cash our +4.79 spread.
Seahawks @ Cardinals
Our model correctly predicted the Seahawks to upset the Cardinals on Thursday Night Football. Jason Myers kicked a game-winning field goal as time expired to cash this for our bettors.
