Week 5 Recap: BTA Model Dominates Against The Spread

Week 5 recap: The BTA Sports model delivers another strong showing with accurate NFL spread and total predictions. 🏈

Week 5 of the 2025 NFL season marked yet another positive performance for the BTA Sports predictive model, which continues to stand out in the competitive betting landscape. This week, the model excelled against the spread (ATS) with an impressive 68.6% success rate, showcasing its sharp accuracy in identifying value plays.

Week-To-Week Record:

  • Week 1: 77.0% ML, 76.2% ATS

  • Week 2: 76.4% ML, 70.2% ATS

  • Week 3: 74.8% ML, 60.5% ATS

  • Week 4: 57.2% ML, 53.1% ATS

  • Week 5: 44.1% ML, 68.6% ATS
  • TOTAL: 62.8% ML, 63.5% ATS

 

Closest Predictions:

Game BTA Model Final Result
Vikings @ Browns CLE +3.63 CLE +4
49ers @ Rams O/U 50.82 Total: 49
Giants @ Saints O/U 37.58 Total: 40

Vikings @ Browns

Our model was nearly perfect in the London game, correctly predicting a 4-point victory for the Vikings. Carson Wentz pulled off the two-minute drill to give the Vikings a 3-2 record heading into their bye week.

49ers @ Rams

Our model nailed the 49ers-Rams total, projecting the game to surpass Vegas’ line (43.5). Both offenses traded big plays all afternoon, combining for 863 yards. Some late field goals and an OT winner helped cash the Over.

Giants @ Saints

Our model accurately predicted the under in this game (42.5) thanks to a total offensive letdown by the Giants’ offense. After scoring early in the second quarter, they failed to put up another point the rest of the way.

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