Week 11 Recap: BTA Model Has Best Moneyline Performance

Jeremy Lyons
November 19, 2025

Week 11 Recap: BTA Model Has Best Moneyline Performance

Week 11 delivered the strongest moneyline performance of the season for the BTA Sports model, marking a true breakout week as the numbers continue to sharpen. The model consistently pinpointed straight-up winners across the slate, showcasing just how effective its data-driven approach can be. As the season rolls on, BTA Sports continues to uncover profitable angles others overlook, proving why it’s one of the most reliable tools for navigating the NFL season.

Week-To-Week Record:

Week 1: 77.0% ML, 76.2% ATS
Week 2: 76.4% ML, 70.2% ATS
Week 3: 74.8% ML, 60.5% ATS
Week 4: 57.2% ML, 53.1% ATS
Week 5: 44.1% ML, 68.6% ATS
Week 6: 61.8% ML, 42.3% ATS
Week 7: 69.9% ML, 44.8% ATS
Week 8: 84.7% ML, 42.6% ATS
Week 9: 59.1% ML, 44.0% ATS
Week 10: 67.7% ML, 51.2% ATS
Week 11: 81.8% ML, 47.8% ATS
TOTAL: 67.1% ML, 53.2% ATS

Closest Predictions:

Game	BTA Model	Final Result
Packers @ Giants	Spread: +6.65	Spread: +7
Jets @ Patriots	Total: 40.32	Total: 41
Ravens @ Browns	Spread: +6.12	Spread: +7

Packers @ Giants

Our model correctly predicted the Packers to win this one by a touchdown. Jordan Love came back from an in-game injury and helped lead his team to a 4th quarter comeback victory.

Jets @ Patriots

Drake Maye and the New England Patriots are riding an 8-game winning streak, and this TNF divisional showdown showed why they are a top team in the league. Our model was just ONE point off the correct total for this game.

Ravens @ Browns

Our model was just ONE point off the spread in this game. In a gritty AFC North showdown that stayed tight from start to finish, it ultimately came down to a wild fake tush-push by Mark Andrews to seal it for the Ravens.

Author

Jeremy Lyons