Matchup Overview
Fresh off a gritty 26-21 road win over the 49ers, the Jaguars head into Monday Night Football riding a well-earned wave of confidence. Jacksonville’s defense continues to carry this team, forcing four turnovers in Week 4 to help seal the victory. Meanwhile, their run game is clicking, with Travis Etienne rushing for nearly 400 yards in his first four games of the season.
On the other side, the Chiefs are coming off back-to-back dominant performances after their surprising 0-2 start. Patrick Mahomes is back to his former self, throwing for 4 TDs last week against the Ravens. Mahomes is 4-0 in his career against the Jaguars, in which he’s averaging 331.8 passing yards per game on a 69.4% completion percentage.
BTA’s Markets/Props To Watch
| Player/Team | Line | BTA Sports Projection |
| Patrick Mahomes | 1+ Interception Thrown | 90.58% Chance |
| Travis Kelce | Over 3.5 Receptions | 92.22% Chance |
| Travis Hunter | Over 29.5 Receiving Yards | 76.33% Chance |
1. Patrick Mahomes 1+ Interception
While Mahomes is not known for throwing interceptions, he faces a Jacksonville secondary that has recorded multiple INTs in each game this season. It’s also worth noting that he has thrown one in his last two games against the Jags. Our model gives him a 90.58% chance of throwing an interception on Monday night.
2. Travis Kelce Over 3.5 Receptions
Travis Kelce enters this matchup having recorded 4+ receptions in each of his last three games. The Jaguars’ defense has struggled against tight ends to start the season, making this a positive outlook for a vintage Kelce performance in primetime. Our model gives him a 92.22% chance of recording 4+ receptions on Monday night.
3. Travis Hunter Over 29.5 Receiving Yards
Travis Hunter didn’t play a defensive snap last week, which would suggest that HC Liam Coen wants to develop him more on offense. While Hunter has been rather disappointing to start the season, a primetime game against a dynasty is the perfect opportunity for him to prove why he was the #2 pick in the draft. Our model gives him a 76.33% chance of recording 30+ receiving yards on Monday night.
